League One Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
Cherry Red Records Stadium

AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Port Vale 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Bolton 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Sam Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 30.69% and a draw has a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 1-0 (8.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.3%).

Result

AFC Wimbledon 30.69%
Draw 26.5%
Bolton Wanderers 42.84%

Both Teams to Score: 

51.29%

Goals

Over 1.5 71.73% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 28.27% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 46.4%
Under 2.5 53.6%
Over 3.5 25.69%
Under 3.5 74.31%
Over 4.5 13.6%
Under 4.5 86.4%

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 22.99%
Draw 44.68%
Bolton Wanderers 32.34%

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 38.35%
No Goal 8.35%
Bolton Wanderers 53.3%

Corners

Over 8 50.77%
Equal 8 12.3%
Under 8 36.93%
Over 9 38.9%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 49.24%
Over 10.5 28.41%
Under 10.5 71.59%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 30.23% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 69.77% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 10.65% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 89.35% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.19%
Under 3.5 96.81%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 72.67% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.33% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 39.47%
Under 1.5 60.53%
Over 2.5 16.17%
Under 2.5 83.83%
Over 3.5 5.2%
Under 3.5 94.8%

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 30.68%
Draw 26.51%
Bolton Wanderers 42.85%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 8.82%
2-1 @ 6.9%
2-0 @ 5.23%
3-1 @ 2.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.9%
3-0 @ 1.84%
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 30.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.3%
0-0 @ 8.35%
2-2 @ 4.94%
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 26.51%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 11.14%
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 7.8%
1-3 @ 4.28%
0-3 @ 3.32%
2-3 @ 2.51%
Other @ 5.14%
Total : 42.85%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 34
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 36' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 42' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 56' goal
  • Dion Charles 67' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 87' goal
  • yellowcard George Marsh 12'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Will Nightingale 20' goal
  • Nik Tzanev 22' yellowcard
  • Ben Heneghan 62' yellowcard
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Presley 74' goal
  • Dapo Mebude 75' goal
  • Ayoub Assal 80' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 23'
  • goal Josh Sheehan 27'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 35'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 48'
  • yellowcard Gethin Jones 53'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daryl Murphy 56' goal
  • Joe Dodoo 95' goal
  • goal Marcus Forss 41'
  • yellowcard Max Sanders 62'
  • goal Marcus Forss 82'
League One
Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Madine 15' goal
  • goal Tom Elliott 39'
  • yellowcard Tom Soares 66'