League One
Jan 31, 2026 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cherry Red Records Stadium
  • Robert Junior Nkeng 46' yellowcard
  • Mathew Stevens 67' yellowcard
  • Zack Nelson 73' yellowcard
  • Omar Bugiel 79' yellowcard
  • Myles Hippolyte 80' yellowcard
  • goal Corey Blackett-Taylor 13'
  • yellowcard Xavier Simons 68'
  • yellowcard Thierry Gale 68'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Cissoko 72'
  • yellowcard Cyrus Christie 83'
  • yellowcard Mason Burstow 83'

AFC Wimbledon vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Bolton 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
S. Dalby

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result

AFC Wimbledon 30.92% (+0.13)
Draw 26.5% (-0.04)
Bolton Wanderers 42.59% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.37% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.75% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 28.25% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 46.46% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 53.54% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 25.75% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 74.25% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 13.66% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 86.34% (-0.11)

First Half Winner

AFC Wimbledon 23% (-0.02)
Draw 44.6%
Bolton Wanderers 32.4% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

AFC Wimbledon 38.35% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.33% (-0.03)
Bolton Wanderers 53.32% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 50.7% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.3% (-0.01)
Under 8 37% (+0.03)
Over 9 38.85%
Equal 9 11.85% (-0.01)
Under 9 49.3% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 28.37%
Under 10.5 71.63%

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 1.5 30.48% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 69.52% (-0.19)
Over 2.5 10.84% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 89.16% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 3.28% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 96.72% (-0.08)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 72.5% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.5% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 39.31% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 60.69% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 16.09% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 83.91% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 5.16% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.84% (-0.01)

Score analysis

AFC Wimbledon 30.92%
Draw 26.51%
Bolton Wanderers 42.59%
AFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 6.92% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.26% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.89% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 1.92% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 1.88% (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21% (+0.07)
Total : 30.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.96% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.07% (+0.02)
Total : 26.51%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 11.1% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 4.26%
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.09%
Total : 42.59%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 34
Feb 19, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 36' goal
  • Oladapo Afolayan 42' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 56' goal
  • Dion Charles 67' goal
  • Amadou Bakayoko 87' goal
  • yellowcard George Marsh 12'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Will Nightingale 20' goal
  • Nik Tzanev 22' yellowcard
  • Ben Heneghan 62' yellowcard
  • Nesta Guinness-Walker 65' yellowcard
  • Aaron Presley 74' goal
  • Dapo Mebude 75' goal
  • Ayoub Assal 80' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 23'
  • goal Josh Sheehan 27'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 35'
  • goal Oladapo Afolayan 48'
  • yellowcard Gethin Jones 53'
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 7, 2020 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cherry Red Records Fans' Stadium
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2019 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Daryl Murphy 56' goal
  • Joe Dodoo 95' goal
  • goal Marcus Forss 41'
  • yellowcard Max Sanders 62'
  • goal Marcus Forss 82'
League One
Mar 4, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Gary Madine 15' goal
  • goal Tom Elliott 39'
  • yellowcard Tom Soares 66'