Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.85%. A draw had a probability of 19.83% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.07%) and 2-1 (10.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.