League One Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton Wanderers vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 1 Leyton Orient
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Josh Sheehan

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
Lincoln 2 - 1 Burton Albion
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Tyrese Shade

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw has a probability of 19.86% and a win for Burton Albion has a probability of 16.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.76%) , while for a Burton Albion win it is 0-1 (5.03%).

Result

Bolton Wanderers 63.82% (-0.62)
Draw 19.86% (+0.49)
Burton Albion 16.36% (+0.17)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.44% (+0.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.11% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 21.89% (+0.09)
Over 2.5 54.91% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 45.09% (+0.22)
Over 3.5 32.38% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 67.62% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 20.6% (+0.11)
Under 4.5 79.4% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Bolton Wanderers 52.13% (-1.86)
Draw 35.67% (+1.72)
Burton Albion 12.2% (+0.14)

Team To Score First

Bolton Wanderers 71.42% (-0.24)
No Goal 5.39% (+0.02)
Burton Albion 23.19% (+0.23)

Corners

Over 8 60.46% (-0.30)
Equal 8 10.9% (+0.17)
Under 8 28.65% (+0.14)
Over 9 49.12% (-0.47)
Equal 9 11.34% (+0.17)
Under 9 39.55% (+0.31)
Over 10.5 38.27% (-0.58)
Under 10.5 61.73% (+0.58)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 1.5 58.37% (-0.50)
Under 1.5 41.63% (+0.50)
Over 2.5 31.85% (-0.50)
Under 2.5 68.15% (+0.50)
Over 3.5 14.05% (-0.27)
Under 3.5 85.95% (+0.27)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 50.57% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 49.43% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 19.26% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 80.74% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 5.33% (+0.26)
Under 2.5 94.67% (-0.27)
Over 3.5 1.29% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 98.71% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 63.81%
Draw 19.87%
Burton Albion 16.36%
Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 11.51% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-0.17)
2-1 @ 10.14% (-0.04)
3-0 @ 7.5% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 6.38% (-0.29)
3-2 @ 3.21% (+0.13)
Other @ 14.04% (-0.28)
Total : 63.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.76% (+0.25)
0-0 @ 5.39% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4% (+0.15)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.87%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 4.31%
0-2 @ 2.41% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.41% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 1.35% (+0.08)
Other @ 1.28% (+0.11)
Total : 16.36%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 11, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • JJ McKiernan 29' yellowcard
  • Jack Armer 42' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 53' goal
  • Kyran Lofthouse 59' yellowcard
  • Mason Bennett 79' yellowcard
  • goal Aaron Morley 22'
  • goal Aaron Morley 22'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 47'
  • goal Josh Sheehan 60'
  • yellowcard Alex Murphy 76'
League One Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • George Johnston 47' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 61' goal
  • Randell Williams 63' goal
  • Randell Williams 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mason Bennett 24'
  • goal Danilo Orsi 66'
  • yellowcard Ben Whitfield 86'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 90'+1'
League One Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Jasper Moon 51' goal
  • Aaron Morley 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 57'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Gilligan 65'
League One Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Rekeem Harper 15' yellowcard
  • Mark Helm 46' goal
  • Deji Oshilaja 56' yellowcard
  • Max Crocombe 57' yellowcard
  • Jake Caprice 74' yellowcard
  • Jasper Moon 84' yellowcard
  • Mustapha Carayol 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 20'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 44'
  • goal Dion Charles 58'
League One Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Josh Walker 59' goal
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 5'