League One Gameweek 28
Jan 22, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT LNER Stadium
  • Jack Moylan 35' goal
  • Jack Moylan 55' goal
  • Ryley Towler 78' yellowcard
  • Dom Jefferies 78' yellowcard
  • Alfie Lloyd 84' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Beesley 37'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Revan 70'
  • yellowcard Fabio Tavares 80'
  • yellowcard Fábio André Tavares Desidério 80'
  • yellowcard Tomas Kalinauskas 88'

Lincoln City vs Burton Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Luton 2 - 2 Lincoln
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Reeco Hackett

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Burton Albion 3 - 1 Huddersfield
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Jake Beesley

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 51.58%. A draw had a probability of 24.64% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%) , while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result

Lincoln City 51.58%
Draw 24.64% (-0.04)
Burton Albion 23.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

52.26%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.75% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 26.25% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.78% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.22% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.14% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.86% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.2% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.8% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lincoln City 36.4%
Draw 42.1%
Burton Albion 21.5%

Team To Score First

Lincoln City 54.78% (+0.01)
No Goal 7.08% (-0.02)
Burton Albion 38.14% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.32%
Equal 8 11.63%
Under 8 28.05%
Over 9 48.21%
Equal 9 12.12%
Under 9 39.68%
Over 10.5 36.7%
Under 10.5 63.3%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 1.5 47.24%
Under 1.5 52.76%
Over 2.5 22% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.27% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.73% (-0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 58.9% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 41.1% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 25.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 74.61% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 7.69% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.31% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.99% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.01% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Lincoln City 51.58%
Draw 24.63%
Burton Albion 23.75%
Lincoln City
1-0 @ 11.99% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39%
2-0 @ 9.17% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13%
3-0 @ 4.58%
3-2 @ 3.08%
Other @ 8.24% (+0.01)
Total : 51.58%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.08% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.03%
Total : 24.63%
Burton Albion
0-1 @ 7.14% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95%
Other @ 1.96% (+0.02)
Total : 23.75%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
EFL Cup
Aug 26, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • 47' goal
  • Paudie O'Connor 49' yellowcard
  • Ethan Hamilton 87' yellowcard
  • Tom Bayliss 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tomas Kalinauskas 70'
  • yellowcard Owen Dodgson 87'
  • goal Charlie Webster 90'+2'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 2
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Udoka Godwin-Malife 5' goal
  • Billy Bodin 41' goal
  • Ethan Erhahon 90' yellowcard
  • goal Paudie O'Connor 9'
  • goal Tendayi Darikwa 22'
  • yellowcard Dylan Duffy 43'
  • goal Paudie O'Connor 86'
League One Gameweek 31
Feb 3, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Jasper Moon 6' yellowcard
  • Deji Oshilaja 17' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 20' yellowcard
  • Joe Powell 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ryan Sweeney 49' yellowcard
  • Tolaji Bola 67' yellowcard
  • Bobby Kamwa 74' yellowcard
  • Ademola Ola-Adebomi 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alex Mitchell 23'
  • redcard Alex Mitchell 29'
  • goal Reeco Hackett 54'
  • yellowcard Ben House 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Lasse Sorensen 90'+6'
League One Gameweek 13
Oct 14, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Daniel Mandroiu 55' redcard
  • Ethan Erhahon 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 26'
  • yellowcard Sam Hughes 53'
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 55'
  • goal Jack Burroughs 58' (OG)
  • yellowcard Kwadwo Baah 81'

Build-up

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