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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 37.04% ( | 26.83% | 36.13% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.34% ( | 53.66% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.85% ( | 75.15% ( |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.02% ( | 27.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.38% ( | 63.62% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.48% ( | 28.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.7% ( | 64.31% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burton Albion | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 37.04% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 7.98% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.83% | 0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 6.28% ( 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0-3 @ 2.63% ( 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.13% |