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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 33.05% and a draw had a probability of 24.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 33.05% ( | 24.82% ( | 42.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.67% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.53% ( | 45.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.2% ( | 67.8% ( |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.55% ( | 26.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.37% ( | 61.63% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.4% ( | 21.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.31% ( | 54.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Lincoln City |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 3-1 @ 3.43% ( 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 3-0 @ 2.24% ( 4-1 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 3.21% Total : 33.05% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0-0 @ 5.71% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 1-3 @ 4.56% ( 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 42.14% |