League One Gameweek 16
Jan 20, 2026 7.45pm
0
0
LIVE The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 12.30pm
Wigan 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Josh Sheehan

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Stevenage 32.22% (+0.11)
Draw 28.4% (+0.19)
Bolton Wanderers 39.38% (-0.33)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.75% (-0.44)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.19% (-0.58)
Under 1.5 32.81% (+0.59)
Over 2.5 41.05% (-0.57)
Under 2.5 58.95% (+0.57)
Over 3.5 20.73% (-0.45)
Under 3.5 79.27% (+0.44)
Over 4.5 10.52% (-0.24)
Under 4.5 89.48% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Stevenage 23.16%
Draw 45.61% (-0.08)
Bolton Wanderers 31.23% (+0.09)

Team To Score First

Stevenage 37.68% (-1.25)
No Goal 10.17% (+0.44)
Bolton Wanderers 52.15% (+0.80)

Corners

Over 8 46.22% (+0.43)
Equal 8 12.32% (-0.33)
Under 8 41.47% (-0.10)
Over 9 34.77% (+0.70)
Equal 9 11.45% (-0.28)
Under 9 53.78% (-0.43)
Over 10.5 24.99% (+0.86)
Under 10.5 75.01% (-0.86)

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 28.63% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 71.37% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 9.58% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 90.42% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 2.6% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 97.4% (+0.08)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 68.67% (-0.61)
Under 0.5 31.33% (+0.61)
Over 1.5 33.99% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 66.01% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 12.81% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 87.19% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 3.86% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.14% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Stevenage 32.22%
Draw 28.4%
Bolton Wanderers 39.38%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.7% (+0.15)
2-1 @ 7.03% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.75% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.21% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.5% (-0.07)
Total : 32.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.25)
0-0 @ 10.17% (+0.44)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 28.4%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.20)
0-2 @ 7.28% (+0.19)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.21)
0-3 @ 2.9% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.99% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.76% (-0.04)
Total : 39.38%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 46
May 3, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Josh Cogley 66' goal
  • goal Jake Young 76'
  • yellowcard Carl Piergianni 82'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2024 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Alex Revell 32' yellowcard
  • Daniel Phillips 67' yellowcard
  • Dan Kemp 71' goal
  • Luther Wildin 80' yellowcard
  • Dan Butler 84' yellowcard
  • goal Ricardo Santos 13'
  • goal John McAtee 16'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 31'
  • yellowcard George Johnston 59'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 61'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 73'
  • yellowcard Luke Southwood 78'
  • goal Dion Charles 88'
League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 75'
  • yellowcard Paris Maghoma 76'
League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 13' goal
  • George Thomason 28' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 44' yellowcard
  • Jack Iredale 49' goal
  • Cameron Jerome 64' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 70' goal
  • goal Jamie Reid 20'
  • goal Jamie Reid 65'
  • yellowcard Jamie Reid 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Sweeney 69'
League Two Gameweek 29
Feb 13, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Macron Stadium
  • Declan John 7' goal
  • Jordan Williams 78' redcard
  • George Thomason 85' yellowcard
League Two Gameweek 13
Nov 21, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Tom Pett 44' goal
  • Arthur Iontton 58' yellowcard
  • Tom Pett 62' yellowcard
  • goal Eoin Doyle 14'
  • goal Ali Crawford 36'
  • yellowcard Andrew Tutte 54'
  • yellowcard Ryan Delaney 86'
  • yellowcard Antoni Sarcevic 90'