Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.