League One Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham United vs AFC Wimbledon - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Stockport 0 - 0 Rotherham
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 0 Doncaster
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Marcus Browne

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rotherham United win with a probability of 37.6%. A win for AFC Wimbledon has a probability of 35.78% and a draw has a probability of 26.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win is 0-1 (9.17%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.53%).

Result

Rotherham United 37.6% (-0.19)
Draw 26.65% (+0.08)
AFC Wimbledon 35.78% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.69% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.87% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 26.13% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 49.61% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 50.39% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 26.75%
Under 3.5 73.25%
Over 4.5 14.26% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.74% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 27.16% (+0.20)
Draw 47.99% (-0.33)
AFC Wimbledon 24.85% (+0.15)

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 49% (-0.33)
No Goal 7.47% (-0.02)
AFC Wimbledon 43.53% (+0.33)

Corners

Over 8 56.87% (-0.65)
Equal 8 11.9% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.23% (+0.67)
Over 9 44.84% (-0.55)
Equal 9 12.03% (-0.09)
Under 9 43.13% (+0.65)
Over 10.5 33.71% (-0.43)
Under 10.5 66.29% (+0.44)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 37.04% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 62.96% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 14.62% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 85.38% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 4.59% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 95.41% (+0.04)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5 69.44% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.56% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 35.6% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 64.4% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 13.62% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 86.38% (-0.17)
Over 3.5 4.06% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.94% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 37.6%
Draw 26.65%
AFC Wimbledon 35.77%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 9.51%
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 6.22%
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.10)
3-0 @ 2.93% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.45% (-0.05)
Total : 37.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 26.65%
AFC Wimbledon
0-1 @ 9.17% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 8.69% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 5.53% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.43% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.73% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.3% (+0.05)
Other @ 3.92% (+0.03)
Total : 35.77%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 32
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Will Nightingale 47' yellowcard
  • George Marsh 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 31'
  • goal Joshua Kayode 60'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Will Grigg 36' goal
  • Michael Smith 45'+1' goal
  • Viktor Johansson 81' yellowcard
  • Michael Smith 89' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Presley 80'
League One Gameweek 34
Feb 15, 2020 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Matt Crooks 60' goal
  • Freddie Ladapo 81' goal
  • goal Max Sanders 30'
  • yellowcard Luke O'Neill 76'
  • yellowcard Jack Rudoni 87'
  • goal Kwesi Appiah 90'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 3, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Joe Pigott 50' goal
  • Callum Reilly 89' yellowcard
  • goal Freddie Ladapo 29'
  • goal Clark Robertson 84'
League One
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Michael Smith 14' goal
  • David Ball 90' goal
  • yellowcard Tom Soares 28'