Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.43%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (9.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.