Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.