League One Gameweek 35
Feb 28, 2026 3.00pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Northampton 0 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Jayden Stockley

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 24, 2026 7.45pm
Doncaster 0 - 0 Luton
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Luton Town has a probability of 34.59% and a draw has a probability of 26.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.17%). The likeliest Luton Town win is 0-1 (8.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.24%).

Result

Port Vale 39.13%
Draw 26.29%
Luton Town 34.59% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.07%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.95% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 25.05% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 51.1% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.9% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 28.91% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.09% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.98% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 84.02% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 30.88%
Draw 43.56%
Luton Town 25.56%

Team To Score First

Port Vale 47.33% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.87% (-0.01)
Luton Town 45.8%

Corners

Over 8 61.08%
Equal 8 11.47%
Under 8 27.45%
Over 9 49.06%
Equal 9 12.02%
Under 9 38.92%
Over 10.5 37.56%
Under 10.5 62.44%

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 39.29%
Under 1.5 60.71%
Over 2.5 16.48% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 83.52% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 5.41%
Under 3.5 94.59%

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 69.17% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 30.83% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 35.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 64.17% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 13.7% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 86.3% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 4.25% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.75% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Port Vale 39.12%
Draw 26.29%
Luton Town 34.59%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 9.52%
2-1 @ 8.48%
2-0 @ 6.17%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 5.19%
Total : 39.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.24% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.65%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 26.29%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 8.32%
0-2 @ 5.44%
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 2.51% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.3%
Other @ 4.03% (+0.03)
Total : 34.59%

Head to Head

League One
Dec 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Cohen Bramall 26' goal
  • Jordan Clark 65' yellowcard
  • Mads Andersen 70' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Heneghan 15'
  • goal Ben Waine 42'
  • goal Devante Cole 54'
  • yellowcard George Byers 77'
League Two
Dec 30, 2017 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Johnny Mullins 23' goal
  • Tom Pope 60' goal
  • Ben Whitfield 70' goal
  • Tom Pope 83' goal
League Two
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ben Whitfield 38' goal
  • Jack Stacey 50' goal
  • Alan McCormack 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Middleton 54'
League Two
Feb 28, 2009 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • John McCombe 26' goal
  • Adnan Ahmed 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mark Bower 24'
  • goal Asa Hall 43'
  • goal Kevin Gallen 52'
  • goal Chris Martin 63'
League Two
Aug 9, 2008 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Sam Parkin 35' goal
  • Claude Gnakpa 87' yellowcard
  • goal Louis Dodds 25'
  • goal Rob Taylor 45'
  • yellowcard Rob Taylor 45'
  • goal Marc Richards 58'
League One
Dec 29, 2007 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Calum Willock 45' goal
  • goal Jaroslaw Fojut 3'
  • yellowcard Alan Goodall 28'
  • goal Matthew Spring 90'