Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.56% and a win for Bradford City had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%) , while for a Bradford City win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.