League One Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 12.30pm
Home Park

Plymouth Argyle vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Peterborough 0 - 0 Plymouth
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Lorent Tolaj

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Luton 0 - 0 Lincoln
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 38.1%. A win for Luton Town has a probability of 36.78% and a draw has a probability of 25.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Luton Town win is 1-2 (8.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.83%).

Result

Plymouth Argyle 38.1% (-0.41)
Draw 25.12% (+0.09)
Luton Town 36.78% (+0.32)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.18% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.93% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 22.07% (-0.13)
Over 2.5 54.62% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 45.38% (-0.20)
Over 3.5 31.86% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 68.14% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 18.11% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 81.89% (-0.13)

First Half Winner

Plymouth Argyle 27.81% (-0.50)
Draw 40.71% (-0.54)
Luton Town 31.48% (+1.04)

Team To Score First

Plymouth Argyle 44.85%
No Goal 5.93% (-0.02)
Luton Town 49.22% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.47%
Equal 8 11.18%
Under 8 28.34%
Over 9 48.83%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 39.53%
Over 10.5 37.72%
Under 10.5 62.28%

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 1.5 40% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 60% (+0.14)
Over 2.5 16.99% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 83.01% (+0.10)
Over 3.5 5.93% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.07% (-0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 71.55% (+0.29)
Under 0.5 28.45% (-0.29)
Over 1.5 39.04% (+0.40)
Under 1.5 60.96% (-0.40)
Over 2.5 16.24% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 83.76% (-0.31)
Over 3.5 5.41% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 94.59% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Plymouth Argyle 38.1%
Draw 25.12%
Luton Town 36.78%
Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 8.71% (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.24% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 5.75% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.06)
Other @ 5.73% (-0.02)
Total : 38.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.83% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.39% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.2% (+0.03)
Total : 25.12%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 8.51% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.9%
0-2 @ 5.72% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 3.92% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.78% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.74% (+0.08)
Other @ 5.21% (+0.08)
Total : 36.78%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 31
Feb 19, 2025 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Jacob Brown 55' goal
  • goal Maksym Talovierov 70'
  • yellowcard Kornel Szucs 77'
  • yellowcard Mustapha Bundu 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 7
Sep 27, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Home Park
  • Rami Hajal 8' goal
  • Adam Randell 36' yellowcard
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 69' goal
  • Ibrahim Cissoko 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Elijah Adebayo 15'
  • goal Victor Moses 71'
  • yellowcard Reuell Walters 83'
  • yellowcard Reece Burke 87'
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 87'
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Home Park (Plymouth)
  • Graham Carey 29' yellowcard
  • Ryan Edwards 42' yellowcard
  • Niall Canavan 62' yellowcard
  • David Fox 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Danny Hylton 30'
  • yellowcard Andrew Shinnie 74'
League One Gameweek 18
Nov 17, 2018 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 4 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium (Luton, Bedfordshire)
  • James Collins 12' goal
  • Elliot Lee 23' goal
  • James Justin 29' goal
  • James Collins 45' goal
  • James Collins 77' goal
  • yellowcard Stuart O'Keefe 52'
  • yellowcard Graham Carey 73'
  • goal Joel Grant 89'
League Two
Feb 25, 2017 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Hylton 8' goal
  • Jonathan Smith 17' yellowcard
  • Jordan Cook 43' yellowcard
  • goal Craig Tanner 25'