Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 24.46% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%) , while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.