Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.