Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 31.56% and a draw had a probability of 30.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (11.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood.