League One Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage vs Mansfield Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Jamie Reid

Mansfield Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Rhys Oates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Mansfield Town has a probability of 29.65% and a draw has a probability of 29.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win is 0-1 (10.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.44%).

Result

Stevenage 41.2% (-0.75)
Draw 29.12% (+0.66)
Mansfield Town 29.65% (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.98% (-0.09)

Goals

Over 1.5 66.06% (+0.22)
Under 1.5 33.94% (-0.22)
Over 2.5 40.13% (+0.41)
Under 2.5 59.87% (-0.41)
Over 3.5 20.36% (+0.08)
Under 3.5 79.64% (-0.07)
Over 4.5 10.48% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 89.52% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Stevenage 35.5% (+0.04)
Draw 43.83% (-0.57)
Mansfield Town 20.66% (+0.52)

Team To Score First

Stevenage 54.3% (-0.05)
No Goal 10.53% (+0.07)
Mansfield Town 35.17% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 51.79%
Equal 8 12.21%
Under 8 36%
Over 9 39.91%
Equal 9 11.88%
Under 9 48.21%
Over 10.5 29.33%
Under 10.5 70.67%

Stevenage Goals

Over 1.5 34.89% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 65.11% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.57% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 86.43% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 4.12% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.88% (-0.03)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.9% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 38.1% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 26.32% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 73.68% (-0.53)
Over 2.5 8.49% (+0.43)
Under 2.5 91.51% (-0.43)
Over 3.5 2.28% (+0.14)
Under 3.5 97.72% (-0.15)

Score analysis

Stevenage 41.2%
Draw 29.12%
Mansfield Town 29.64%
Stevenage
1-0 @ 12.89% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 8.22% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 7.5% (-0.21)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.13)
3-0 @ 3.19% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.01% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.95% (-0.13)
Total : 41.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.44% (+0.10)
0-0 @ 10.53% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.17% (+0.17)
Other @ 0.17% (+0.16)
Total : 29.12%
Mansfield Town
0-1 @ 10.48% (-0.10)
1-2 @ 6.66% (+0.16)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.71% (+0.15)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.11% (-0.02)
Total : 29.64%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Jamie Reid 44' goal
  • Jordan Roberts 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caylan Vickers 61'
  • yellowcard Baily Cargill 71'
  • goal Jordan Rhodes 81'
  • yellowcard Aaron Lewis 88'
FA Cup
Nov 30, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium
  • Nathan Thompson 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Luther Wildin 59' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Keanu Baccus 33'
  • goal Stephen McLaughlin 48'
League One Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT One Call Stadium
  • Baily Cargill 24' yellowcard
  • Louis Reed 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jake Young 32'
  • yellowcard Luther Wildin 66'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT One Call Stadium
  • James Gale 11' goal
League Two Gameweek 21
Dec 10, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Lamex Stadium