Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 27.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (6.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.