Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Stockport County had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Stockport County win was 1-2 (7.65%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.