League One
Feb 14, 2026 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • David Turnbull 11' goal
  • Joel Colwill 37' goal
  • Perry Ng 42' goal
  • Ronan Kpakio 55' yellowcard
  • Callum Robinson 69' yellowcard
  • Cian Ashford 69' yellowcard
  • Rubin Colwill 69' yellowcard
  • Dylan Lawlor 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Clark 20'
  • yellowcard Ali Al-Hamadi 46'
  • yellowcard Nahki Wells 66'
  • yellowcard Shayden Morris 66'
  • yellowcard Davy van den Berg 73'

Cardiff City vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
Rotherham 0 - 3 Cardiff
Goals scored
72
Top scorer
Omari Kellyman

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.31pm
Luton 2 - 1 Bradford
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Gideon Kadua

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.58% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.89%) , while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Cardiff City 56.85% (+0.04)
Draw 21.58%
Luton Town 21.57% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.33% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.9% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.1% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 59.81%
Under 2.5 40.15%
Over 3.5 36.81% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 63.16% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 22.88% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 77.12% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Cardiff City 39.9%
Draw 40.08%
Luton Town 20.02%

Team To Score First

Cardiff City 60.76%
No Goal 4.69%
Luton Town 34.55%

Corners

Over 8 58.75%
Equal 8 11.39%
Under 8 29.86%
Over 9 47.06%
Equal 9 11.69%
Under 9 41.25%
Over 10.5 36.04%
Under 10.5 63.96%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 1.5 56.64% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 43.36% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 30.27%
Under 2.5 69.73%
Over 3.5 12.99% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.01% (+0.02)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 59.17% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 40.83% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.5% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 72.5% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.22% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 90.78% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 2.59% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.41% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Cardiff City 56.86%
Draw 21.58%
Luton Town 21.58%
Cardiff City
2-1 @ 10.5% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.32% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-0 @ 5.77% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 12.85%
Total : 56.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.89%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 4.69%
3-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 0.14% (-0.01)
Total : 21.58%
Luton Town
1-2 @ 5.73% (+0.02)
0-1 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 2.97%
1-3 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.45% (-0.01)
Total : 21.58%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 23, 2025 12.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 37
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Calum Chambers 50' goal
  • Callum O'Dowda 67' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Clark 57'
  • yellowcard Isaiah Jones 78'
  • goal Thelo Aasgaard 80'
Championship Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Carlton Morris 43' yellowcard
  • Jacob Brown 57' goal
  • Teden Mengi 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dimitrios Goutas 86'
Championship Gameweek 29
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
  • Elijah Adebayo 88' goal
Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Romaine Sawyers 85' goal
  • goal Luke Freeman 47'
  • goal Gabriel Osho 62'
Championship Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joel Bagan 55' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Cornick 71'
  • yellowcard Kal Naismith 90'+3'