Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.55% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 21.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%) , while for a Barnsley win it was 1-2 (5.82%).