Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 25.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 0-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.