Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Rotherham United had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest Rotherham United win was 1-0 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.