League One Gameweek 31
Feb 7, 2026 3.01pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham United vs Cardiff City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 4 Rotherham
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Cardiff City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
Burton Albion 2 - 2 Cardiff
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Yousef Salech

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Rotherham United has a probability of 31.61% and a draw has a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Rotherham United win is 1-0 (9.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.57%).

Result

Rotherham United 31.61% (+0.04)
Draw 26.83%
Cardiff City 41.56% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.69%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.37% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 27.63% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 47.24%
Under 2.5 52.76%
Over 3.5 25.67% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.33% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.57% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 86.43% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 23.39%
Draw 44.56%
Cardiff City 32.05%

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 39.31%
No Goal 7.98% (-0.01)
Cardiff City 52.71% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 56.11%
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 31.93%
Over 9 44.07%
Equal 9 12.04%
Under 9 43.89%
Over 10.5 33%
Under 10.5 67%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 31.11% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.89% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 10.75% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 89.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.88% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 97.12% (-0.01)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5 72.62% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.38% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 39.44% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 60.56% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 16.16% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.84% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.31%
Under 3.5 94.69%

Score analysis

Rotherham United 31.6%
Draw 26.83%
Cardiff City 41.56%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 9.23%
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 5.32% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.81% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.05% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.79% (+0.02)
Total : 31.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57%
0-0 @ 7.98% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.83%
Cardiff City
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.84% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.11%
0-3 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.46%
Other @ 5.22%
Total : 41.56%

Head to Head

League One
Aug 16, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 46
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
5
2
HT : 2 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Jordan Hugill 25' goal
  • Tom Eaves 45'+2' goal
  • Tom Eaves 57' goal
  • Arvin Appiah 60' yellowcard
  • Sam Nombe 63' goal
  • Jordan Hugill 69' goal
  • goal Nat Phillips 38'
  • goal Ollie Tanner 47'
Championship Gameweek 9
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Emmanouil Siopis 35' yellowcard
  • Dimitrios Goutas 46' yellowcard
  • Kion Etete 56' goal
  • Perry Ng 90' goal
Championship Gameweek 38
Apr 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
  • Chiedozie Ogbene 37' goal
  • goal Jaden Philogene-Bidace 5'
  • goal Kion Etete 11'
  • goal Cedric Kipre 87'
Championship Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Jaden Philogene-Bidace 65' goal
Championship Gameweek 46
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Cardiff City Stadium
  • Joe Ralls 52' yellowcard
  • Marlon Pack 88' goal
  • goal Lewis Wing 8'
  • yellowcard Michael Ihiekwe 39'
  • yellowcard Ben Wiles 70'