League One
Rotherham
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT AESSEAL New York Stadium
Northampton
  • Ar'jany Martha 39' yellowcard
  • Daniel Gore 46' yellowcard
  • D. Gore 46' yellowcard
  • Harry Gray 58' goal
  • Emmanuel Adegboyega 73' yellowcard
  • E. Adegboyega 73' yellowcard
  • Emmanuel Adegboyega 84' goal
  • E. Adegboyega 84' goal
  • Dru Yearwood 86' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Eaves 26'
  • yellowcard Kamarai Simon-Swyer 71'
  • yellowcard Max Dyche 71'
  • yellowcard Kamarai Swyer 71'
  • yellowcard Jake Evans 81'
  • yellowcard Jack Vale 82'
  • yellowcard Michael Jacobs 82'

Rotherham United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Harry Gray

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Blackpool 2 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.

Result

Rotherham United 44.83% ▼ (-0.06)
Draw 27.56% ▼ (-0.07)
Northampton Town 27.61% ▲ (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.78% ▲ (+0.22)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.53% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 31.47% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 42.63% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 2.5 57.37% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 21.56% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 78.44% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 11.24% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 88.76% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 29.72% ▼ (-0.18)
Draw 49.5% ▲ (+0.08)
Northampton Town 20.79% ▲ (+0.10)

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 51.34% ▲ (+0.14)
No Goal 9.34% ▼ (-0.09)
Northampton Town 39.32% ▼ (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 60.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Equal 8 11.72% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 27.95% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 9 48.1% ▼ (-0.09)
Equal 9 12.23% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 9 39.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 10.5 36.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 63.52% ▲ (+0.11)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 38.78% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 61.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 15.67% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 84.33% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.02% ▼ (-0.02)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.68% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 0.5 39.32% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 1.5 25.61% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 1.5 74.39% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 2.5 7.84% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 92.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.92% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.08% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 44.82%
Draw 27.55%
Northampton Town 27.61%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 12.77% ▼ (-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.93% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.06)
3-0 @ 4.01% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.8% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 44.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 27.55%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.59% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 4.65% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.12% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.52% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.86% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 27.61%

Head to Head

League One
Northampton
Oct 11, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Rotherham
League One Gameweek 40
Northampton
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
Rotherham
  • TJ Eyoma 40' yellowcard
  • Ben Perry 75' yellowcard
  • goal Pelly Ruddock 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 53'
  • goal Sam Nombe 65'
  • yellowcard Jordan Hugill 84'
League One Gameweek 20
Rotherham
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT New York Stadium
Northampton
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 3' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 33' goal
  • Andre Green 49' goal
  • Joe Powell 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 44'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 72'
League One
Northampton
Mar 17, 2018 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Rotherham
  • Kevin van Veen 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Taylor 14'
  • goal Michael Smith 18'
  • yellowcard Semi Ajayi 37'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 59'
  • goal David Ball 62'
  • goal Richie Towell 81'
League One
Rotherham
Sep 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Northampton
  • Kieffer Moore 52' goal
  • Darren Potter 82' yellowcard
  • Michael Ihiekwe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 43'
League Two
Rotherham
Feb 2, 2013 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Northampton
  • Daniel Nardiello 42' goal
  • Daniel Nardiello 43' yellowcard
  • Mark Bradley 63' yellowcard
  • Ben Pringle 75' goal
  • David Noble 79' goal
  • Jordan Slew 85' yellowcard
  • goal Clarke Carlisle 90'

Form Data

Rotherham 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Stockport 3 - 2 Rotherham
Huddersfield 3 - 0 Rotherham
Rotherham 0 - 2 Peterborough
Blackpool 4 - 0 Rotherham
Bolton 2 - 1 Rotherham
Blackpool 2 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 1 - 2 Wycombe
Northampton 4 - 2 Walsall
Bolton 0 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 0 - 0 Stockport
Huddersfield 2 - 0 Northampton