League One Gameweek 29
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
AESSEAL New York Stadium

Rotherham United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Rotherham 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Blackpool 2 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Tom Eaves

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rotherham United win with a probability of 44.88%. A draw has a probability of 27.62% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.01%) , while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (9.37%).

Result

Rotherham United 44.88% (+3.27)
Draw 27.62% (-0.06)
Northampton Town 27.5% (-3.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.57% (-2.58)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.33% (-1.80)
Under 1.5 31.67% (+1.81)
Over 2.5 42.4% (-1.90)
Under 2.5 57.6% (+1.90)
Over 3.5 21.41% (-1.42)
Under 3.5 78.59% (+1.43)
Over 4.5 11.13% (-0.76)
Under 4.5 88.87% (+0.77)

First Half Winner

Rotherham United 29.89% (-0.49)
Draw 49.42% (+2.33)
Northampton Town 20.69% (-1.84)

Team To Score First

Rotherham United 51.21% (+2.32)
No Goal 9.42% (+0.41)
Northampton Town 39.37% (-2.72)

Corners

Over 8 60.41% (-0.05)
Equal 8 11.7% (+0.30)
Under 8 27.89% (-0.25)
Over 9 48.19% (-0.39)
Equal 9 12.21% (+0.34)
Under 9 39.59% (+0.05)
Over 10.5 36.58% (-0.68)
Under 10.5 63.42% (+0.68)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 1.5 38.7% (+1.05)
Under 1.5 61.3% (-1.05)
Over 2.5 15.59% (+0.67)
Under 2.5 84.41% (-0.68)
Over 3.5 4.95% (+0.37)
Under 3.5 95.05% (-0.36)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 60.49% (-3.64)
Under 0.5 39.51% (+3.63)
Over 1.5 25.41% (-3.47)
Under 1.5 74.59% (+3.47)
Over 2.5 7.74% (-1.92)
Under 2.5 92.26% (+1.93)
Over 3.5 1.89% (-0.62)
Under 3.5 98.11% (+0.63)

Score analysis

Rotherham United 44.86%
Draw 27.61%
Northampton Town 27.49%
Rotherham United
1-0 @ 12.84% (+1.58)
2-1 @ 8.92% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.31% (+0.80)
3-0 @ 4.01% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 3.78% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.15)
Other @ 4.89% (+0.36)
Total : 44.86%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (-0.15)
0-0 @ 9.42% (+0.41)
2-2 @ 4.38% (-0.26)
Other @ 0.06%
Total : 27.61%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.27)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.63)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.52)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.52)
0-3 @ 1.51% (-0.42)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.31)
Other @ 1.83% (-0.63)
Total : 27.49%

Head to Head

League One
Oct 11, 2025 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 1, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • TJ Eyoma 40' yellowcard
  • Ben Perry 75' yellowcard
  • goal Pelly Ruddock 22'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 53'
  • goal Sam Nombe 65'
  • yellowcard Jordan Hugill 84'
League One Gameweek 20
Dec 14, 2024 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 3' goal
  • Jonson Clarke-Harris 33' goal
  • Andre Green 49' goal
  • Joe Powell 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 44'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 72'
League One
Mar 17, 2018 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Kevin van Veen 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Taylor 14'
  • goal Michael Smith 18'
  • yellowcard Semi Ajayi 37'
  • yellowcard Joe Mattock 59'
  • goal David Ball 62'
  • goal Richie Towell 81'
League One
Sep 30, 2017 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kieffer Moore 52' goal
  • Darren Potter 82' yellowcard
  • Michael Ihiekwe 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Aaron Pierre 43'
League Two
Feb 2, 2013 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Daniel Nardiello 42' goal
  • Daniel Nardiello 43' yellowcard
  • Mark Bradley 63' yellowcard
  • Ben Pringle 75' goal
  • David Noble 79' goal
  • Jordan Slew 85' yellowcard
  • goal Clarke Carlisle 90'