League One Gameweek 30
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
St James Park

Exeter City vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 8.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Rotherham 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
25
Top scorer
Sam Nombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Exeter City win with a probability of 54%. A draw has a probability of 24.9% and a win for Rotherham United has a probability of 21.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.04%) , while for a Rotherham United win it is 0-1 (7.02%).

Result

Exeter City 54%
Draw 24.9%
Rotherham United 21.06%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.81%

Goals

Over 1.5 72.51% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 27.49% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 47.36% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 52.64% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 25.72%
Under 3.5 74.28%
Over 4.5 14.82% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.18% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 31.19%
Draw 47.62%
Rotherham United 21.19%

Team To Score First

Exeter City 54.92%
No Goal 7.58%
Rotherham United 37.5%

Corners

Over 8 57.59%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 30.43%
Over 9 45.37%
Equal 9 12.22%
Under 9 42.41%
Over 10.5 34.01%
Under 10.5 65.99%

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 47.82% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.18% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 22.43% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 77.57% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.76%
Under 3.5 91.24%

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 55.37% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 44.63% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 21.87% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.13% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 6.25% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.47% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.53% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Exeter City 54.01%
Draw 24.91%
Rotherham United 21.07%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 12.88%
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 9.61% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.58% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83%
3-2 @ 2.53% (+0.01)
Other @ 8.69%
Total : 54.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.58%
2-2 @ 4.49%
Other @ 0.07%
Total : 24.91%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.4% (-0.02)
Total : 21.07%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Reece James 45' goal
  • goal Alex Hartridge 56'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 70'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Johnly Yfeko 64' yellowcard
  • Caleb Watts 71' goal
  • Pedro Borges 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Raggett 81'
League Two
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Ben Pringle 1' goal
  • Daniel Nardiello 28' goal
  • Michael O'Connor 30' goal
  • Craig Morgan 51' goal
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 53'
  • yellowcard John O'Flynn 70'
  • goal Danny Coles 77'
League Two
Nov 24, 2012 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Bennett 55' yellowcard
  • goal Ian Sharps 42'
  • yellowcard Liam Ridehalgh 84'
  • yellowcard Alex Revell 90'
  • redcard Mitchell Rose 90'
League Two
May 2, 2009 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dale Tonge 75' redcard