League One
Jan 31, 2026 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
  • Timur Tuterov 57' yellowcard
  • Akeel Higgins 57' yellowcard
  • J. Aitchison 57' yellowcard
  • Joshua Brendan David Magennis 74' yellowcard
  • S. Cox 75' yellowcard
  • goal Jamal Baptiste 28'
  • yellowcard E. Adegboyega 40'
  • goal J. Rafferty 71'
  • goal Harry Gray 72'
  • yellowcard Dru Yearwood 74'
  • goal S. McWilliams 75'
  • yellowcard Ar'jany Martha 77'

Exeter City vs Rotherham United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 8.00pm
Reading 2 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Rotherham United

All competitions
Last game
Jan 27, 2026 7.45pm
Rotherham 2 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Harry Gray

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.04% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%) , while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (7.16%).

Result

Exeter City 53.57% (-0.57)
Draw 25.04% (+0.20)
Rotherham United 21.39% (+0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.71% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.23% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 27.77% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 46.89% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 53.11% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 25.29% (-0.41)
Under 3.5 74.71% (+0.40)
Over 4.5 14.43% (-0.38)
Under 4.5 85.57% (+0.37)

First Half Winner

Exeter City 30.95% (-0.02)
Draw 48.06% (+0.04)
Rotherham United 20.98% (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Exeter City 54.7% (-0.06)
No Goal 7.69% (+0.12)
Rotherham United 37.61% (-0.05)

Corners

Over 8 57.58%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 30.45%
Over 9 45.37%
Equal 9 12.21%
Under 9 42.42%
Over 10.5 34.02%
Under 10.5 65.98%

Exeter City Goals

Over 1.5 47.24% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 52.76% (+0.65)
Over 2.5 21.88% (-0.59)
Under 2.5 78.12% (+0.60)
Over 3.5 8.38% (-0.37)
Under 3.5 91.62% (+0.38)

Rotherham United Goals

Over 0.5 55.66% (+0.34)
Under 0.5 44.34% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 21.96% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 78.04% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 6.24% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 93.76% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 1.47% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.53% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Exeter City 53.57%
Draw 25.04%
Rotherham United 21.4%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 12.93% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.03)
Other @ 8.34% (-0.36)
Total : 53.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.15% (+0.12)
0-0 @ 7.69% (+0.12)
2-2 @ 4.46%
Other @ 0.04% (-0.02)
Total : 25.04%
Rotherham United
0-1 @ 7.16% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 5.44% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 3.3% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 1.61% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.4% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.43% (+0.04)
Total : 21.4%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 6, 2025 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT New York Stadium
  • Reece James 45' goal
  • goal Alex Hartridge 56'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 70'
League One Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Johnly Yfeko 64' yellowcard
  • Caleb Watts 71' goal
  • Pedro Borges 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sean Raggett 81'
League Two
Apr 9, 2013 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Ben Pringle 1' goal
  • Daniel Nardiello 28' goal
  • Michael O'Connor 30' goal
  • Craig Morgan 51' goal
  • yellowcard Lawson D'Ath 53'
  • yellowcard John O'Flynn 70'
  • goal Danny Coles 77'
League Two
Nov 24, 2012 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Scott Bennett 55' yellowcard
  • goal Ian Sharps 42'
  • yellowcard Liam Ridehalgh 84'
  • yellowcard Alex Revell 90'
  • redcard Mitchell Rose 90'
League Two
May 2, 2009 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dale Tonge 75' redcard