League One Gameweek 28
Jan 24, 2026 3.00pm
Vale Park

Port Vale vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Mansfield 0 - 0 Port Vale
Goals scored
18
Top scorer
Ben Waine

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Jan 17, 2026 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 0 Stevenage
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
Jayden Wareham

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Port Vale win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw has a probability of 18.93% and a win for Exeter City has a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.74%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.78%) , while for a Exeter City win it is 1-2 (5.03%).

Result

Port Vale 62.17% (+0.68)
Draw 18.93% (-0.20)
Exeter City 18.9% (-0.49)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.2% (-0.92)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.13% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 17.87% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 62.12% (+0.10)
Under 2.5 37.88% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 40.26% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 59.74% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 26.86% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 73.14% (+0.10)

First Half Winner

Port Vale 46.87% (+0.72)
Draw 35.36% (-0.04)
Exeter City 17.77% (-0.68)

Team To Score First

Port Vale 62.21% (+0.04)
No Goal 3.77% (-0.05)
Exeter City 34.02% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.69%
Equal 8 11.28%
Under 8 27.04%
Over 9 49.82%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 38.31%
Over 10.5 38.41%
Under 10.5 61.59%

Port Vale Goals

Over 1.5 60.72% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 39.28% (-0.38)
Over 2.5 35.03% (+0.31)
Under 2.5 64.97% (-0.30)
Over 3.5 16.89% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 83.11% (-0.07)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 54.44% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 45.56% (+0.36)
Over 1.5 24.9% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 75.1% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 8.93% (-0.38)
Under 2.5 91.07% (+0.37)
Over 3.5 2.93% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 97.07% (+0.13)

Score analysis

Port Vale 62.15%
Draw 18.93%
Exeter City 18.9%
Port Vale
2-1 @ 9.8% (+0.15)
1-0 @ 9.74% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 9.11% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 6.62% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 6.22% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.96% (+0.07)
Other @ 16.7% (+0.10)
Total : 62.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.78% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.77% (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.19% (-0.05)
Total : 18.93%
Exeter City
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.34% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.10)
2-3 @ 1.93% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.91% (-0.10)
Other @ 2.74% (-0.09)
Total : 18.9%

Head to Head

League One
Sep 13, 2025 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 2 0
FT Vale Park
  • Tom Sang 28' yellowcard
  • Ethan Chislett 31' goal
  • Baylee Dipepa 40' goal
  • yellowcard Millenic Alli 7'
  • yellowcard Caleb Watts 35'
  • yellowcard Ben Purrington 41'
  • yellowcard Luke Harris 47'
  • goal Millenic Alli 57'
  • goal Zak Jules 67'
  • goal Luke Harris 79'
  • goal Millenic Alli 89'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
  • Will Aimson 72' yellowcard
  • James Scott 84' yellowcard
  • Will Aimson 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Oliver Arblaster 29'
  • yellowcard Conor Grant 54'
  • yellowcard Jesse Debrah 85'
League One Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • William Forrester 60' goal
FA Cup
Nov 5, 2022 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT Vale Park
  • Dennis Politic 25' goal
  • Daniel Butterworth 87' goal
  • goal Jevani Brown 43'
  • goal Jevani Brown 66'
  • goal Archie Collins 89'
League One Gameweek 2
Aug 6, 2022 3.00pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT St James Park
  • Harry Kite 24' goal
  • Cheick Diabate 30' yellowcard
  • Pierce Sweeney 35' yellowcard
  • Jevani Brown 38' goal
  • Jevani Brown 72' goal
  • Sam Nombe 75' goal