FA Cup
Man City
Jan 10, 2026 3.00pm
Etihad Stadium
Exeter

Manchester City vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Exeter City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw has a probability of 15.65% and a win for Exeter City has a probability of 10.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.42%) , while for a Exeter City win it is 0-1 (3.17%).

Result

Manchester City 73.93%
Draw 15.65%
Exeter City 10.42%

Both Teams to Score: 

48.25%

Goals

Over 1.5 83.42%
Under 1.5 16.58%
Over 2.5 62.57%
Under 2.5 37.43%
Over 3.5 39.08%
Under 3.5 60.92%
Over 4.5 27.33%
Under 4.5 72.67%

First Half Winner

Manchester City 59.76%
Draw 28.62%
Exeter City 11.62%

Team To Score First

Manchester City 73.92%
No Goal 3.69%
Exeter City 22.39%

Corners

Over 8 62.42%
Equal 8 10.55%
Under 8 27.03%
Over 9 51.28%
Equal 9 11.14%
Under 9 37.58%
Over 10.5 40.45%
Under 10.5 59.55%

Manchester City Goals

Over 1.5 69.61%
Under 1.5 30.39%
Over 2.5 43.04%
Under 2.5 56.96%
Over 3.5 21.65%
Under 3.5 78.35%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 42.58%
Under 0.5 57.42%
Over 1.5 15.15%
Under 1.5 84.85%
Over 2.5 3.5%
Under 2.5 96.5%
Over 3.5 0.81%
Under 3.5 99.19%

Score analysis

Manchester City 73.93%
Draw 15.65%
Exeter City 10.41%
Manchester City
2-0 @ 12.1%
3-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 9.75%
1-0 @ 9.71%
3-1 @ 7.09%
3-2 @ 3.37%
Other @ 21.64%
Total : 73.93%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 3.87%
0-0 @ 3.69%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 15.65%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 3.17%
1-2 @ 3.07%
0-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 10.41%

Form Data

Man City 1 - 1 Brighton
Man City 0 - 0 Chelsea
Sunderland 0 - 0 Man City
Nott'm Forest 1 - 2 Man City
Man City 3 - 0 West Ham
Man City 2 - 0 Brentford
Huddersfield 0 - 0 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 0 Luton
AFC Wimbledon 0 - 1 Exeter
Cardiff 1 - 0 Exeter
Exeter 3 - 0 Barnsley
Bolton 2 - 1 Exeter

Build-up

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