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Premier League | Gameweek 21
Jan 7, 2026 at 7.30pm UK
 
Brighton logo

vs.

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Manchester City and Brighton & Hove Albion.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Man City
Saturday, December 27 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Sunderland vs. Man City
Thursday, January 1 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-2 Brighton
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Next Game: Brighton vs. Burnley
Saturday, January 3 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 67.08%. A draw has a probability of 17.91% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion has a probability of 15.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.11%) and 3-1 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.01%) , while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it is 1-2 (4.22%).

Result
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
67.08%17.91%15.01%
Both teams to score 59.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.01%32.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.29%54.7%
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.9%9.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.11%30.89%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.14%34.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.41%71.59%
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 67.08%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 15.01%
    Draw 17.91%
Manchester CityDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 9.6%
2-0 @ 9.11%
3-1 @ 7.67%
1-0 @ 7.6%
3-0 @ 7.28%
4-1 @ 4.6%
4-0 @ 4.37%
3-2 @ 4.04%
4-2 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 2.21%
5-0 @ 2.09%
5-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.92%
Total : 67.08%
1-1 @ 8.01%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 3.17%
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 17.91%
1-2 @ 4.22%
0-1 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 1.78%
0-2 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 15.01%

Head to Head
Mar 15, 2025 3pm
gameweek 29
Man City
2-2
Brighton
Haaland (11' pen.), Marmoush (39')
Savio (15'), Doku (61')
Estupinan (21'), Khusanov (48' og.)
Pedro (10'), Mitoma (18'), Balepa (26'), Wieffer (89'), Verbruggen (90+1')
Nov 9, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 11
Brighton
2-1
Man City
Pedro (78'), O'Riley (83')
Ayari (19'), Julio (44'), Paul van Hecke (90+10')
Haaland (23')
Lewis (37'), Simpson-Pussey (77'), Haaland (90+10')
Apr 25, 2024 8pm
gameweek 29
Brighton
0-4
Man City

Veltman (35'), Balepa (76')
De Bruyne (17'), Foden (26', 34'), Alvarez (62')
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
gameweek 9
Man City
2-1
Brighton
Alvarez (7', 7'), Haaland (19', 19')
Rodri (38'), Akanji (63'), Grealish (84')
Akanji (90+5')
Fati (73')
March (36'), Julio (64')