Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 52.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.