Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 75.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.69% and a win for Sunderland had a probability of 9.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%) , while for a Sunderland win it was 1-2 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.