Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.71%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 22.88% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.61%).