Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Jan 4, 2026 at 5.30pm UK

Man City Manchester City
vs.
Chelsea

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Manchester City and Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-2 Man City
Saturday, December 27 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Next Game: Sunderland vs. Man City
Thursday, January 1 at 8pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
Tuesday, December 30 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 55.71%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 22.88% and a draw has a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Chelsea win is 1-2 (5.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.61%).

Result
Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
55.71% ( -0.03)	21.4% ( 0.04)	22.88% ( -0)

Both teams to score 61.46% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.16% (

-0.18)

36.84% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.99% (

-0.19)

59.01% (

0.19)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.79% (

-0.07)

13.21% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.05% (

-0.14)

39.95% (

0.14)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.82% (

-0.1)

29.18% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.88% (

-0.13)

65.12% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Manchester City 55.71%

Chelsea 22.88%

Draw 21.4%

Manchester City	Draw	Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 55.71%	1-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.4%	1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.21% Total : 22.88%