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Premier League

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Premier League | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2025 at 12.30pm UK
 
Chelsea logo

NewcastleNewcastle United
vs.
Chelsea

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Newcastle vs. Fulham
Wednesday, December 17 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup

Chelsea

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Cardiff 1-3 Chelsea
Tuesday, December 16 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 39.6%. A win for Newcastle United has a probability of 36.26% and a draw has a probability of 24.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.51%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Newcastle United win is 2-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.08%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
36.26% (-0.665 -0.66)24.14% (-0.012 -0.01)39.6% (0.678 0.68)
Both teams to score 60.83% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)64.06% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.16% (-0.348 -0.35)22.84% (0.35 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.44% (-0.517 -0.52)56.56% (0.51900000000001 0.52)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (0.32499999999999 0.32)21.16% (-0.324 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98% (0.503 0.5)54.03% (-0.502 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 36.26%
    Chelsea 39.6%
    Draw 24.14%
Newcastle UnitedDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
1-0 @ 7.14% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 2.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.49% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-0 @ 0.96% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 36.26%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 4.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.081 0.08)
0-1 @ 7.51% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 5.83% (0.115 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.46% (0.085 0.09)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.02% (0.089 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.05 0.05)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (0.045 0.05)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 39.6%

Head to Head
May 11, 2025 12pm
gameweek 36
Newcastle
2-0
Chelsea
Tonali (2'), Guimaraes (90')
Schar (53'), Murphy (64'), Guimaraes (84'), Krafth (89')

Fernandez (45+5'), Colwill (90+3')
Jackson (35')
> Match Report
Oct 30, 2024 7.45pm
Round of 16
Newcastle
2-0
Chelsea
Isak (23'), Disasi (26' og.)
Schar (16'), Longstaff (19'), Gordon (52'), Pope (55')

Badiashile (29'), Felix (85')
> Match Report
Oct 27, 2024 2pm
gameweek 9
Chelsea
2-1
Newcastle
Palmer (4', 47'), Jackson (18')
Fofana (11'), Lavia (54'), Madueke (66'), Sanchez (84'), Neto (88'), Nkunku (90+4'), Maresca (90+4')
Isak (32')
Schar (22'), Tonali (64'), Longstaff (90')
> Match Report
Mar 11, 2024 8pm
gameweek 28
Chelsea
3-2
Newcastle
Jackson (6'), Palmer (57'), Mudryk (76')
Sterling (39'), Petrovic (71'), Caicedo (72')
Isak (43'), Murphy (90')
White (90+6')
> Match Report
Dec 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals
Chelsea
1-1
Newcastle
(Aggregate 1-1 | Chelsea win 4-2 on penalties)
Mudryk (90+2')
Caicedo (2'), Sterling (71'), Gallagher (90+4'), Mudryk (90+6')
Wilson (16')
Wilson (87'), Guimaraes (90+5')
> Match Report