Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.21%) and 0-2 (5.85%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (8.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.