Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 1-0 (7.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.