Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Bruno Guimaraes 31' goal
  • Tino Livramento 52' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 45'+8' goal
  • Jacob Ramsey 90'+3' yellowcard
  • 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Kyle Walker 35'
  • redcard Lucas Pires 43'
  • yellowcard Josh Laurent 89'
  • goal Zian Flemming 90'+4'

Newcastle United vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 2, 2025 8.15pm
Newcastle 2 - 2 Spurs
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Nick Woltemade

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 7.30pm
Burnley 0 - 1 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Zian Flemming

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 20.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%) , while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 58.92%
Draw 20.9%
Burnley 20.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.14%

Goals

Over 2.5 61.95%
Under 2.5 38.05%
Over 3.5 39.68%
Under 3.5 60.32%
Over 4.5 21.89%
Under 4.5 78.11%

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 87.34%
Under 0.5 12.66%
Over 1.5 61.17%
Under 1.5 38.83%

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 67.71%
Under 0.5 32.29%
Over 1.5 31.21%
Under 1.5 68.79%

Score analysis

Newcastle United 58.92%
Draw 20.9%
Burnley 20.18%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.87%
2-0 @ 8.73%
1-0 @ 8.45%
3-1 @ 6.8%
3-0 @ 6.01%
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.51%
4-0 @ 3.11%
4-2 @ 1.99%
5-1 @ 1.45%
5-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 58.92%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 5.58%
0-0 @ 4.09%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.9%
Burnley
1-2 @ 5.4%
0-1 @ 4.62%
0-2 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 2.1%
1-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 20.18%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 36
May 4, 2024 3.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Turf Moor
  • Maxime Esteve 37' yellowcard
  • Josh Brownhill 51' yellowcard
  • Dara O'Shea 86' goal
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 18'
  • goal Callum Wilson 19'
  • goal Sean Longstaff 35'
  • goal Bruno Guimaraes 40'
  • goal Alexander Isak 55'
  • yellowcard Elliot Anderson 72'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 3 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 14' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 17' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 18' yellowcard
  • Anthony Gordon 18' yellowcard
  • Alexander Isak 76' goal
  • yellowcard Zeki Amdouni 29'
  • yellowcard Zeki Amdouni 29'
  • yellowcard Jordan Beyer 40'
  • yellowcard Jordan Beyer 40'
  • yellowcard Charlie Taylor 53'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 22, 2022 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • James Tarkowski 65' yellowcard
  • Maxwel Cornet 69' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 20'
  • goal Callum Wilson 60'
Premier League Gameweek 15
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Callum Wilson 40' goal
  • Javi Manquillo 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 75'
EFL Cup
Aug 25, 2021 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
ET St. James' Park
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 79'
  • yellowcard Dwight McNeil 80'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Apr 11, 2021 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matej Vydra 18' goal
  • Josh Brownhill 69' yellowcard
  • goal Jacob Murphy 59'
  • goal Allan Saint-Maximin 64'

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups