Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.11% and a win for Everton had a probability of 13.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%) , while for a Everton win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.