Champions League
Dec 9, 2025 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gianluca Scamacca 55' goal
  • Charles De Ketelaere 83' goal
  • goal Joao Pedro 25'
  • yellowcard Trevoh Chalobah 29'

Atalanta BC vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 26, 2025 8.00pm
Frankfurt 0 - 3 Atalanta

Chelsea

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Nov 25, 2025 8.00pm
Chelsea 3 - 0 Barcelona

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 31.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (7.53%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Atalanta BC 43.54%
Draw 24.75%
Chelsea 31.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.37%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.37%
Under 2.5 45.63%
Over 3.5 32.05%
Under 3.5 67.95%
Over 4.5 16.11%
Under 4.5 83.89%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5 78.98%
Under 0.5 21.02%
Over 1.5 46.2%
Under 1.5 53.8%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 72.64%
Under 0.5 27.36%
Over 1.5 37.18%
Under 1.5 62.82%

Score analysis

Atalanta BC 43.54%
Draw 24.75%
Chelsea 31.71%
Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 9.07%
1-0 @ 8.97%
2-0 @ 7%
3-1 @ 4.71%
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 3.06%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.42%
4-2 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 43.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
2-2 @ 5.88%
0-0 @ 5.75%
3-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.75%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 7.53%
0-1 @ 7.45%
0-2 @ 4.83%
1-3 @ 3.26%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.09%
1-4 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.71%

Build-up

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