Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Quarterfinals
Dec 17, 2025 at 8.15pm UK
 
Fulham logo

vs.

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Fulham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Fulham could line up in Wednesday's EFL Cup quarter-final with fellow Premier League side Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Newcastle
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Premier League
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Last Game: Burnley 2-3 Fulham
Saturday, December 13 at 5.30pm in Premier League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Fulham has a probability of 28.84% and a draw has a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Fulham win is 1-2 (7.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.78%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawFulham
47.7%23.46%28.84%
Both teams to score 60.2%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.83%41.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.43%63.56%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5%17.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01%47.98%
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97%27.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61%62.39%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 47.7%
    Fulham 28.84%
    Draw 23.46%
Newcastle UnitedDrawFulham
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 8.24%
2-0 @ 7.19%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 4.18%
3-2 @ 3.57%
4-1 @ 2.38%
4-0 @ 1.82%
4-2 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 10.78%
2-2 @ 6.15%
0-0 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-1 @ 6.18%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.68%
0-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.84%

Head to Head
Feb 1, 2025 3pm
gameweek 24
Newcastle
1-2
Fulham
Murphy (37')
Burn (35'), Joelinton (45+3'), Tonali (78'), Gordon (81')
Jimenez (61'), Muniz (82')
Andersen (17'), Robinson (20'), Pereira (85'), Leno (90+2')
Sep 21, 2024 3pm
gameweek 5
Fulham
3-1
Newcastle
Jimenez (5', 5'), Smith Rowe (22'), Nelson (90+2')
Tete (21'), Lukic (28'), Traore (36'), Pereira (44'), Reed (90+2'), Leno (90+2')
Barnes (46')
Apr 6, 2024 3pm
gameweek 32
Fulham
0-1
Newcastle

Lukic (68')
Guimaraes (81')
Krafth (19'), Longstaff (51')
Jan 27, 2024 7pm
Fourth Round
Fulham
0-2
Newcastle
Longstaff (39'), Burn (61')
Schar (20')