Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.