Premier League
Dec 30, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Moises Caicedo 4' yellowcard
  • Cole Palmer 15' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 23' goal
  • goal David Brooks 6'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 27'
  • yellowcard Marcus Tavernier 84'

Chelsea vs Bournemouth - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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Head to head
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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 5.30pm
Chelsea 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Bournemouth

All competitions
Last game
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
Brentford 4 - 1 Bournemouth
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Evanilson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 67.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.92% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 14.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%) , while for a Bournemouth win it was 1-2 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 67.47% (+0.92)
Draw 17.92% (-0.38)
Bournemouth 14.61% (-0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.05% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.03% (+0.65)
Under 2.5 33.97% (-0.66)
Over 3.5 44.16% (+0.73)
Under 3.5 55.83% (-0.74)
Over 4.5 25.58% (+0.62)
Under 4.5 74.41% (-0.63)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 90.73% (+0.39)
Under 0.5 9.26% (-0.40)
Over 1.5 68.69% (+0.92)
Under 1.5 31.3% (-0.93)

Bournemouth Goals

Over 0.5 63.98% (-0.29)
Under 0.5 36.01% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 27.2% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 72.79% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Chelsea 67.47%
Draw 17.92%
Bournemouth 14.61%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.44% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.94% (-0.13)
3-1 @ 7.65% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 7.49% (+0.15)
4-1 @ 4.55% (+0.13)
4-0 @ 4.45% (+0.16)
3-2 @ 3.9% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 2.32% (+0.05)
5-1 @ 2.16% (+0.10)
5-0 @ 2.12% (+0.12)
5-2 @ 1.11% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 67.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.11% (-0.20)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.07)
0-0 @ 3.34% (-0.12)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.92%
Bournemouth
1-2 @ 4.14% (-0.14)
0-1 @ 3.41% (-0.15)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.41% (-0.06)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 14.61%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Marc Guiu 85'
  • yellowcard Pedro Neto 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 14, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Cole Palmer 13' goal
  • Nicolas Jackson 32' yellowcard
  • Romeo Lavia 52' yellowcard
  • Reece James 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Ryan Christie 45'+2'
  • goal Justin Kluivert 50'
  • yellowcard David Brooks 55'
  • goal Antoine Semenyo 68'
  • yellowcard Dean Huijsen 87'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Ryan Christie 18' yellowcard
  • Lewis Cook 35' yellowcard
  • Robert Sanchez 37' yellowcard
  • Justin Kluivert 59' yellowcard
  • Andoni Iraola 66' yellowcard
  • Marcos Senesi 80' yellowcard
  • Antoine Semenyo 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Wesley Fofana 31'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 36'
  • yellowcard Adam Smith 38'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 52'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 57'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 57'
  • goal Christopher Nkunku 86'
  • yellowcard Renato Veiga 87'
  • yellowcard Joao Felix 90'+1'
Premier League Gameweek 38
May 19, 2024 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stamford Bridge
  • Moises Caicedo 17' goal
  • Antoine Semenyo 27' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 48' goal
  • Malo Gusto 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 28'
  • yellowcard Milos Kerkez 30'
  • goal Benoit Badiashile 49' (OG)
  • yellowcard Marcos Senesi 80'
Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vitality Stadium
  • Milos Kerkez 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 4'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 41'
  • yellowcard Axel Disasi 76'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Jackson 80'
  • yellowcard Ben Chilwell 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 35
May 6, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Matias Vina 21' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 9'
  • goal Benoit Badiashile 82'
  • goal Joao Felix 86'

Build-up

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