Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.34%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.