Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (7.98%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.