Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 37.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.57%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (8.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.