Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 55.59%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 22.32% and a draw had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (5.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.