Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 55.25%. A draw had a probability of 23.22% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 21.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%) , while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.