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Premier League | Gameweek 18
Dec 27, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
 
Aston Villa logo

vs.

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Chelsea and Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-2 Chelsea
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 2-3 Aston Villa
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Aston Villa vs. Man Utd
Sunday, December 21 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw has a probability of 23.24% and a win for Aston Villa has a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.97%) , while for a Aston Villa win it is 0-1 (6.14%).

Result
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
53.9%23.24%22.86%
Both teams to score 55.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68%45.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35%67.66%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.26%16.74%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.34%46.66%
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09%33.91%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42%70.58%
Score Analysis
    Chelsea 53.9%
    Aston Villa 22.86%
    Draw 23.24%
ChelseaDrawAston Villa
1-0 @ 10.14%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.07%
3-1 @ 5.84%
3-0 @ 5.4%
3-2 @ 3.16%
4-1 @ 2.61%
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 53.9%
1-1 @ 10.97%
0-0 @ 5.68%
2-2 @ 5.3%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.24%
0-1 @ 6.14%
1-2 @ 5.93%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 2.14%
2-3 @ 1.91%
0-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 22.86%

Head to Head
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
gameweek 26
Aston Villa
2-1
Chelsea
Asensio (57', 89')
McGinn (69')
Fernandez (9')
Fernandez (56'), Nkunku (72'), Caicedo (89')
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
gameweek 13
Chelsea
3-0
Aston Villa
Jackson (7'), Fernandez (36'), Palmer (83')
Madueke (85'), Felix (89')

Philogene-Bidace (54'), Cash (61')
Apr 27, 2024 8pm
gameweek 35
Aston Villa
2-2
Chelsea
Cucurella (4' og.), Rogers (42')
Luiz (49'), Rogers (64'), Bailey (66')
Madueke (62'), Gallagher (81')
Caicedo (49'), Mudryk (82'), Silva (87'), Badiashile (90+10'), Madueke (90+10')
Feb 7, 2024 8pm
Fourth Round Replays
Aston Villa
1-3
Chelsea
Diaby (90+1')
Carlos (38')
Gallagher (11'), Jackson (21'), Fernandez (54')
Fernandez (55'), Petrovic (76')
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Chelsea
0-0
Aston Villa

Silva (9')
Luiz (12')
Tielemans (46')
rhs 2.0


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