Premier League
Chelsea
Dec 27, 2025 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Joao Pedro 37' goal
  • Reece James 57' yellowcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 68' yellowcard
  • Trevoh Chalobah 69' yellowcard
  • Liam Delap 71' yellowcard
  • Moises Caicedo 71' yellowcard
  • Enzo Fernandez 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 30'
  • yellowcard 57'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 57'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 63'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 78'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 84'

Chelsea vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 12.30pm
Newcastle 2 - 2 Chelsea
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Joao Pedro

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 21, 2025 4.30pm
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man Utd
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.54%. A draw had a probability of 23.29% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%) , while for a Aston Villa win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 53.54% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Aston Villa 23.17% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.25% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.79% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 45.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 32.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 67.56% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 16.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 83.61% ▼ (-0.01)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 83.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.83%
Over 1.5 53.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.83%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 66.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 29.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 70.22% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Chelsea 53.53%
Draw 23.29%
Aston Villa 23.17%
Chelsea
1-0 @ 10.06% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.79%
2-0 @ 8.97% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.82%
3-0 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.17% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.59%
4-0 @ 2.37% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 53.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.99%
0-0 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.29%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 6.17%
1-2 @ 6% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.37% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.23% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 23.17%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 26
Aston Villa
Feb 22, 2025 5.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marco Asensio 57' goal
  • John McGinn 69' yellowcard
  • Marco Asensio 89' goal
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 9'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 56'
  • yellowcard Christopher Nkunku 72'
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 89'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Chelsea
Dec 1, 2024 1.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 7' goal
  • Enzo Fernandez 36' goal
  • Cole Palmer 83' goal
  • Noni Madueke 85' yellowcard
  • Joao Felix 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jaden Philogene-Bidace 54'
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 61'
Premier League Gameweek 35
Aston Villa
Apr 27, 2024 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Marc Cucurella 4' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 42' goal
  • Douglas Luiz 49' yellowcard
  • Morgan Rogers 64' yellowcard
  • Leon Bailey 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Moises Caicedo 49'
  • goal Noni Madueke 62'
  • goal Conor Gallagher 81'
  • yellowcard Mykhaylo Mudryk 82'
  • yellowcard Thiago Silva 87'
  • yellowcard Benoit Badiashile 90'+10'
  • yellowcard Noni Madueke 90'+10'
FA Cup
Aston Villa
Feb 7, 2024 8.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Villa Park
Chelsea
  • Diego Carlos 38' yellowcard
  • Moussa Diaby 90'+1' goal
  • goal Conor Gallagher 11'
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 21'
  • goal Enzo Fernandez 54'
  • yellowcard Enzo Fernandez 55'
  • yellowcard Djordje Petrovic 76'
FA Cup
Chelsea
Jan 26, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 1
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Thiago Silva 9' yellowcard
  • goal Douglas Luiz 12'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 46'
Premier League Gameweek 6
Chelsea
Sep 24, 2023 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stamford Bridge
Aston Villa
  • Nicolas Jackson 50' yellowcard
  • Malo Gusto 58' redcard
  • Ben Chilwell 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Digne 44'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 73'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Martinez 90'+4'

Form Data

Newcastle 2 - 2 Chelsea
Cardiff 1 - 3 Chelsea
Chelsea 2 - 0 Everton
Atalanta 2 - 1 Chelsea
Bournemouth 0 - 0 Chelsea
Leeds 3 - 1 Chelsea
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Man Utd
West Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Basel 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal
Brighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves

Build-up

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