Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw has a probability of 23.24% and a win for Aston Villa has a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.97%) , while for a Aston Villa win it is 0-1 (6.14%).
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 53.9% | 23.24% | 22.86% |
| Both teams to score 55.03% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.68% | 45.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.35% | 67.66% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.26% | 16.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.34% | 46.66% |
| Aston Villa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% | 33.91% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% | 70.58% |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Aston Villa |
| 1-0 @ 10.14% 2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.07% 3-1 @ 5.84% 3-0 @ 5.4% 3-2 @ 3.16% 4-1 @ 2.61% 4-0 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.41% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.9% | 1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 5.68% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.24% | 0-1 @ 6.14% 1-2 @ 5.93% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 2.14% 2-3 @ 1.91% 0-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.22% Total : 22.86% |