Aston Villa

2-1

Man UtdManchester United

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.