Premier League Gameweek 17
Aston Villa
Dec 21, 2025 4.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Villa Park
Man Utd
  • Morgan Rogers 45' goal
  • Morgan Rogers 57' goal
  • Lamare Bogarde 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Matheus Cunha 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Manuel Ugarte 68'
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 72'

Aston Villa vs Manchester United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Dec 14, 2025 2.00pm
West Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Manchester United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 15, 2025 8.00pm
Man Utd 4 - 4 Bournemouth
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Bryan Mbeumo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.69%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result

Aston Villa 43.31% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 23.89% ▼ (-0.01)
Manchester United 32.8% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.89%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.78% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 41.22% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 36.39% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 63.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 19.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 80.68% ▼ (-0.01)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 80.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 19.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 48.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.04% ▲ (+0.01)

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5 75.44% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.96% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.04% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 43.31%
Draw 23.88%
Manchester United 32.8%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.01% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 7.8% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.41% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.47%
4-1 @ 2.03%
4-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 43.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.94%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.88%
Manchester United
1-2 @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.96% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 32.8%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 38
Man Utd
May 25, 2025 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Amad Diallo 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Amad Diallo 76' goal
  • Christian Eriksen 87' goal
  • Casemiro 90'+4' yellowcard
  • redcard Emiliano Martinez 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Pau Torres 73'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 80'
Premier League Gameweek 7
Aston Villa
Oct 6, 2024 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
Man Utd
  • Ross Barkley 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 3'
  • yellowcard Harry Maguire 36'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 41'
  • yellowcard Marcus Rashford 59'
  • yellowcard Victor Lindelof 87'
Premier League Gameweek 24
Aston Villa
Feb 11, 2024 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Villa Park
Man Utd
  • Clement Lenglet 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Matty Cash 60' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 67' goal
  • Moussa Diaby 71' yellowcard
  • goal Rasmus Hojlund 17'
  • yellowcard Casemiro 37'
  • yellowcard Kobbie Mainoo 45'+4'
  • goal Scott McTominay 86'
Premier League Gameweek 19
Man Utd
Dec 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Alejandro Garnacho 59' goal
  • Alejandro Garnacho 71' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 73' yellowcard
  • Rasmus Hojlund 82' goal
  • goal John McGinn 21'
  • goal Leander Dendoncker 26'
  • yellowcard Jacob Ramsey 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Diego Carlos 74'
  • yellowcard Ezri Konsa 87'
Premier League Gameweek 34
Man Utd
Apr 30, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Aston Villa
  • Bruno Fernandes 39' goal
EFL Cup
Man Utd
Nov 10, 2022 8.00pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT Old Trafford
Aston Villa
  • Anthony Martial 49' goal
  • Marcus Rashford 67' goal
  • Bruno Fernandes 78' goal
  • Scott McTominay 90'+1' goal
  • goal Ollie Watkins 48'
  • goal Diogo Dalot 61' (OG)

Form Data

West Ham 2 - 3 Aston Villa
Basel 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal
Brighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 1 - 0 Wolves
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Young Boys
Man Utd 4 - 4 Bournemouth
Wolves 1 - 4 Man Utd
Man Utd 1 - 1 West Ham
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Man Utd
Man Utd 0 - 1 Everton
Spurs 2 - 2 Man Utd

Build-up

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