Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 55.88%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 2-1 (5.83%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.