Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 79.13%. A draw had a probability of 13.09% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 7.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%) , while for a West Ham United win it was 1-2 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.