Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 21.73% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%) , while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 2-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.