Premier League
Arsenal
Dec 27, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Brighton
  • Martin Odegaard 14' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 52' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 69' yellowcard
  • Piero Hincapie 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bart Verbruggen 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Lewis Dunk 50'
  • yellowcard Diego Coppola 56'
  • goal Diego Gomez 64'

Arsenal vs Brighton & Hove Albion - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 8.00pm
Everton 0 - 1 Arsenal
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Mikel Merino

Brighton & Hove Albion

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 3.00pm
Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Jan Paul van Hecke

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 20.13% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 16.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%) , while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-2 (4.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result

Arsenal 63% ▲ (+0.03)
Draw 20.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion 16.87% ▼ (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.4% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 39.97% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 37.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 62.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 4.5 20.3% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.7% ▲ (+0.02)

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 87.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 12.1% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 62.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 37.66% ▼ (-0.01)

Brighton & Hove Albion Goals

Over 0.5 63.02% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 36.97% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 26.24% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 73.76% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Arsenal 63%
Draw 20.13%
Brighton & Hove Albion 16.87%
Arsenal
2-0 @ 9.98% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.99% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 3.69% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 63%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.4% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.94% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.47% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.13%
Brighton & Hove Albion
1-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.64% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 16.87%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Arsenal
Oct 29, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
Premier League Gameweek 20
Brighton
Jan 4, 2025 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Broadfield Stadium
Arsenal
  • Joao Pedro 61' goal
  • Joel Veltman 64' yellowcard
  • Yankuba Minteh 82' yellowcard
  • goal Ethan Nwaneri 16'
  • yellowcard Ethan Nwaneri 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 84'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 90'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Arsenal
Aug 31, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Kai Havertz 38' goal
  • Declan Rice 42' yellowcard
  • Thomas Partey 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Declan Rice 49' redcard
  • Jurrien Maduro 70' yellowcard
  • David Raya 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fabian Hurzeler 43'
  • goal Joao Pedro 58'
  • yellowcard Yankuba Minteh 70'
  • yellowcard Joao Pedro 90'+6'
Premier League Gameweek 32
Brighton
Apr 6, 2024 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT The American Express Community Stadium
Arsenal
  • Carlos Balepa 76' yellowcard
  • goal Bukayo Saka 33'
  • goal Kai Havertz 62'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 79'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 86'
  • yellowcard Ben White 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Arsenal
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
Brighton
  • Ben White 38' yellowcard
  • Mikel Arteta 43' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Jesus 53' goal
  • Kai Havertz 87' goal
  • yellowcard Kaoru Mitoma 43'
  • yellowcard Billy Gilmour 76'
  • yellowcard Pascal Gross 89'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Arsenal
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Brighton
  • goal Julio Enciso 51'
  • goal Deniz Undav 86'
  • goal Pervis Estupinan 90'+6'

Form Data

Arsenal 1 - 1 Crystal Palace
Everton 0 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 1 Wolves
Brugge 0 - 3 Arsenal
Aston Villa 2 - 1 Arsenal
Arsenal 2 - 0 Brentford
Brighton 0 - 0 Sunderland
Liverpool 2 - 0 Brighton
Brighton 1 - 1 West Ham
Brighton 3 - 4 Aston Villa
Nott'm Forest 0 - 2 Brighton
Brighton 2 - 1 Brentford

Build-up

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