Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.44% and a win for Everton had a probability of 17.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.11%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%) , while for a Everton win it was 1-0 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.