Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 58.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.09% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 18.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.2%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.