Arsenal logo
EFL Cup | Quarterfinals
Dec 23, 2025 at 8pm UK
 
Crystal Palace logo

vs.

Coverage of the EFL Cup Quarterfinals clash between Arsenal and Crystal Palace.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Arsenal 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, December 13 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Everton vs. Arsenal
Saturday, December 20 at 8pm in Premier League
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Last Game: Crystal Palace 0-3 Man City
Sunday, December 14 at 2pm in Premier League
Next Game: Crystal Palace vs. KuPS
Thursday, December 18 at 8pm in Conference League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw has a probability of 24.65% and a win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 21.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.68%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it is 0-1 (7.15%).

Result
ArsenalDrawCrystal Palace
54.05% (0.056000000000004 0.06)24.65% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)21.29% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.111 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1)52.8% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.57% (-0.087 -0.09)74.43% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)19.48% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)51.34% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Crystal Palace Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.38% (-0.127 -0.13)39.61% (0.126 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.7% (-0.116 -0.12)76.29% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 54.05%
    Crystal Palace 21.29%
    Draw 24.64%
ArsenalDrawCrystal Palace
1-0 @ 12.62% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.56% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.014 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 54.05%
1-1 @ 11.68%
0-0 @ 7.72% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.64%
0-1 @ 7.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.02% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 21.29%

Head to Head
Apr 23, 2025 8pm
gameweek 34
Arsenal
2-2
Crystal Palace
Kiwior (3'), Trossard (42')
Rice (45+2')
Eze (27'), Mateta (83')
Devenny (47')
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
gameweek 17
Crystal Palace
1-5
Arsenal
Sarr (11')
Guehi (64'), Clyne (79')
Jesus (6', 14'), Havertz (38'), Martinelli (60'), Rice (84')
Magalhaes (31'), Maduro (36')
Dec 18, 2024 7.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Arsenal
3-2
Crystal Palace
Jesus (54', 73', 81')
Lewis-Skelly (90')
Mateta (4'), Nketiah (85')
Kporha (23')
Jan 20, 2024 12.30pm
gameweek 21
Arsenal
5-0
Crystal Palace
Magalhaes (11'), Henderson (37' og.), Trossard (59'), Martinelli (90+4', 90+5')