Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.